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Calculating probability


I want to estimate, based on past monthly sales, the probability of selling an specific product next month. 

Suppose I sold the article X in january, february and august, now im facing November and I have to calculate the probability of selling that article (Extend this to every SKU). 

Also, i have data from 2014, the point is to analyse if i have ever sold that product in an specific month throughout the years which could help me estimating if im gonna be selling or not the SKU. 


Hope you guys can help me!

Thanks in advance😀